The Treasurer December 2003

The Treasurer December 2003

Editorial

First, let me wish all members of the ACT and our other readers a very happy Christmas. I feel a bit guilty raising the subject already but at least I am well behind the retailers in whipping up the festive frenzy. The usual welter of cards at home and in the office won’t yet have hit you but you have the consolation that you won’t be getting cards from Ocean House – nothing personal, but the ACT donates its Christmas card budget to Crisis – www.crisis.org.uk/christmascardchallenge.

The biggest Christmas present I could have, work-wise, is that you take the time to fill in our Reader Survey, carried in this edition. It is crucial for us to know what you think about the magazine, what topics we cover and how, as well as understanding your current and future needs, and any changes since the last survey two years ago. A free pair of first class return tickets on Eurostar is up for grabs as an incentive. Closing date is 15th December, which gives us time to draw a winner who then has one less Christmas present to buy!

Technical issues is another area where your views and opinions are vital drivers for influencing change: IAS 39 in its current form will create major problems for corporates, and time for making a change is rapidly running out, as is outlined on page 11 – our position was also taken up in the FT on 19 November. In other areas of treasurers’ work, some cajoling (or stronger) is needed to make things happen – as Steven Groppi writes in his article on e-payments (p26) “loud and very critical corporate voices [are] making themselves heard”. Please make it your New Year’s resolution to make the ACT and The Treasurer the places to shout loudest.We in turn can then echo your views to the people who matter.

Shouting is not the ‘done thing’ at ACT events but they are a good forum for discussion and exchange of opinion with your peers and those on the other side of the corporate fence. This issue covers a number of recent and imminent events – the Autumn Paper by Johnny Cameron (p15), the ACT’s Annual Dinner (p32), our Symposium on Convertibles (p18) and the ACT’s Pensions Conference (p20).We also preview The Treasurers’ Conference to be run next March (p34). Again, have a good Christmas and I hope you don’t end up too hoarse with all the shouting!

MIKE HENIGAN
Managing Editor

Prospects for a short-term recovery (TT Dec03 p6-7)

Risks of recession and deflation have subsided, and a cyclical upturn is probable in the next six to nine months, but a strong and sustained global recovery is unlikely, and medium-term growth will remain subdued. In the UK, growth prospects have improved. However, overall, performance remains mediocre, and sharply worsening public finances highlight serious medium-term risks for the economy.

International Loans (TT Dec03 p8-9)

These are a selection of loans announced recently. The details, updated to the middle of last month, were supplied by Thomson Financial Securities Data and other sources.

marketwatch HOTLINE (TT Dec03 p10-14)

Consultations on FSA reform
The FSA has published a consultation paper containing wide-ranging and radical proposals for reforming the Listing Regime for equity, debt and financial products.

A good way to do business (TT Dec03 p15-17)

Relationship banking has been with us for years, even centuries. In spring 1728, with The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) less than a year old, a customer came to us with a problem.William Hogg, a merchant in the High Street of Edinburgh, was not unique. He bought and he sold – and that meant there were times when he had enough money and times when he did not. He did not want to borrow a fixed sum for a fixed period – the existing form of borrowing – he wanted something more flexible, borrowing only what he needed, when he needed it, and moreover paying for it on that basis.

The fast evolving convertible bond market (TT Dec03 p18-19)

The convertible bond (CB) markets are nothing new to UK companies. The benefits of CB issuance are well-known: low interest costs and equity issued at a premium. However, there was a time when plain vanilla convertible bonds were a company’s only equity-linked fund-raising choice, and fears of dilution and loss of shareholder value dominated UK plc’s perception of CBs. Over the past three years the UK convertible market has evolved tremendously in the issuer’s favour, both in terms of attractive pricing and flexibility of structure.

Defined benefits: a way out? (TT Dec03 p20-21)

As David Creed, Chairman of the recent 2003 Association of Corporate Treasurers (ACT) Pensions Conference pointed out, the signs of the problems ahead were already apparent at last year’s conference. Low interest rates and higher wages were driving up the net present value of future pension liabilities.

Focusing on cash matters (TT Dec03 p22-24)

Cash management in Electrocomponents at the end of 1999 was a decentralised affair. In the UK, there was a notional cash pool with the main clearing bank, in which sat all the UK operating and holding companies. Group treasury managed the balance on this pool with deposits/borrowings to/from the London money market. Some of the other overseas operating companies had cash balances (which, for various reasons, could be substantial) that they largely managed locally, albeit under guidance from the centre in terms of credit exposure. The borrowing companies were financed with a range of inter-company and external debt, again largely driven and managed locally. It was not very efficient at all. Not only was there a significant loss of interest, but there was also a loss of central control and a lot of local management time was being wasted. A process was initiated to review cash management, currency by currency, starting with the euro first.

Setting the trends of tomorrow (TT Dec03 p25)

The fifth JPMorgan Fleming International Cash Management Survey, which has recently been completed in conjunction with the Association of Corporate Treasurers (ACT), once again provided a valuable insight into current trends in cash management with some very interesting results.

Is anybody listening out there? (TT Dec03 p26-27)

Being a group of small sovereign countries in close proximity to each other helped Europe to develop into one of the most politically and culturally diverse regions in the world. While this variety undoubtedly helped the region to become a leader in arts, ideas and business, it also made the day to- day mechanisms of inter-country trade and commerce extremely complicated.

Switch systems to save (TT Dec03 p28-30)

Like their peers on other floors of corporate headquarters, executives in the treasury, accounts payable and accounts receivable departments are under considerable pressure to cut costs, operate more efficiently and generate more revenue.

Another successful ACT dinner (TT Dec03 p32-33)

The ACT Annual Dinner took place at the Grosvenor House Hotel, Park Lane, London, on Wednesday 12 November. Baron Alexandre Lamfalussy (pictured), the man who was both Europe’s first ‘central banker’ and then responsible for much of the work on the regulation of European securities markets, was the guest of honour and provided the 1600 members and their guests with his vision for the economic future of Europe.

The treasury issues that matter for 2004 (TT Dec03 p39-41)

Treasurers Lucy Fuller of Smith & Nephew, Bob Williams of Allied Domecq and Piers Williamson of the Housing Finance Corporation give their views on the economic outlook for the year ahead.

Five wise men report (TT Dec03 p42-45)

What lies ahead for the world economies in 2004? How will the main currencies perform? At the end of a turbulent year we asked five of the UK's foremost economists for their predictions...

A good time to borrow? (TT Dec03 p46-49)

The Treasurer asks a selection of experts in the loans markets to provide us with their forecasts for 2004.

Return of confidence perks up the market (TT Dec03 p50-51)

After a reasonably positive year in the bond markets, we asked the experts for their predictions for 2004. Pippa Mason of Citigroup and Nick Medd of HSBC provide their forecasts.

Can equities keep up the momentum in 2004? (TT Dec03 p53-54)

Equities rallied during 2003 but will the surge continue throughout 2004? And after a tough first six months for IPOS, is confidence returning? We asked two equities experts, Greg Chamberlain of Cazenove and Kevin Gardner of HSBC for their views.

A growing business opportunity (TT Dec03 p55-56)

Next year sees a major development within Europe. On 1 May 2004, 10 countries – Cyprus, Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia – will join the European Union (EU) and create a market of 25 countries and 450 million people.

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